uncertainty - Coding Horror

software development concepts

How Good an Estimator Are You? Part II

Here are the answers to the quiz presented in How Good an Estimator Are You? If you’re concerned that a quiz like this has nothing to do with software development, consider: In software, you aren’t often asked to estimate the volume of the Great Lakes or the surface

software development concepts

The Mysterious Cone of Uncertainty

One of the central themes in McConnell’s Software Estimation: Demystifying the Black Art is the ominously named Cone of Uncertainty. The cone defines statistically predictable levels of project estimate uncertainty at each stage of the project. The cone has several ramifications, the most important of which is that early